PL: Night 12 · Thursday 23 April 2026
Luke Humphries vs Luke Littler
M&S Bank Arena, Liverpool · 20:30 GMTPreview
Preview · 20:30 GMTClear edge → Littler
Avg differential
+3.6 to Littler
Prediction
Luke Littler
Clear favourite
- These two players have the highest career averages of anyone in the competition — 106.7 and 103.1
- Littler beat Humphries 6–5 in the Night 7 semi-final — the closest result in any of their meetings
- Humphries' 103.1 average is third in the field; his zero wins is the biggest underperformance relative to ability
Stat worth knowing
Humphries has a 103.1 career average — elite by any measure — with zero night wins from 11 nights. Statistically, a player averaging 103+ should be converting 2–3 wins across 11 events. Either the fixtures have not gone his way, or there is a specific pattern in the match that undermines him at the critical moment. One of these will correct eventually.
Stats verdict
Littler on both form and average. But Humphries' numbers suggest he is capable of winning any match in this field.